Wednesday, 14 November 2012

We missed Gono’s sunrises


Gideon Gono
It's neither here nor there what people say about Gideon Gono's economic strategy but fact could be that as a nation, Zimbabwe failed itself by blaming him for the money he pumped into agriculture and industry to try and revive them. By standing aside, the opposition and those who care about Zimbabwe opened the door to corruption and eroded an opportunity that could have changed the future of our children 



 Gideon Gono was an opportunity we missed and if we had listened to him, who knows, maybe we would be enjoying those sunrises or are they sunsets now?

Bar what Gono’s sunrises or sunsets are said to have caused, we missed their brighter and warmer sides.

Ironically, what Gono did is what most western governments have done to keep their banks and major industries afloat. It’s a fact that the USA printed money and is printing money to bridge the gap created by the 2008 economic disaster.

The European Union too is printing money. Even the British are busy printing money. Just don’t talk about India because the printing presses there are running.

Now if other central banks are printing money to cushion their industries and keep their banks afloat so that their economies do not collapse, what exactly was wrong with our system? Why didn’t we embrace and wash in Gono’s sunrises?

I will not bother you with figures and numbers here for the sake of simplicity and clarity, but would like to explain the theory behind printing money. 

It’s called the quantity theory of money propounded by Copernicus. It simply states that money supply has a direct proportional relationship with the price levels. I need not say much because the issue is why did we not embrace Gono’s sunrises?

The crucial question here now is whether printing money leads to inflation. And if it does, why isn’t there a rise in inflation in the US whose debt is piling every second?

US deficit is projected to hit the $1.4 trillion mark this fiscal year and the treasury department says it will not be able to approve any borrowing by 2 August last year.

There were reports early June last year that US Republican law makers were muting a brief debt technical default as a means of encouraging White House to cut down on expenditure. 

China, the largest US creditor that holds more than a trillion dollars in Treasury, raised concern that such an act would plunge the global economy.

There have been arguments that our inflation was driven up by Gono’s money printing ventures and that we were indebted to the IMF etc etc etc.

My point is; why did we suffer so much when our situation was just as good or as bad as that of the USA which I have used as an example? 

Let me give a brief rundown of what Gono did when he took over as Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe Governor.

His first step was condemning old bank notes that had become worthless because of inflation and introduced new currency on 1 August 2006. 

A year later, Gono released Z$200 000 denomination. More came afterwards: December 2007, new denominations were issued Z$250, Z$500, and Z$750 000; next on 20 December 2007, Z$1m, Z$5m and Z$10m were rolled out on 16 January 2008.

About four months later on 4 April, Gono unleashed Z$25m and Z$50m with Z$100m and Z$250m rolling in on 5 May 2008 and Z$500m and Z$5b, Z$25b, and Z$50b landing on 20 May 2008. The biggest one – Z$100b - was unrolled on 21 July 2008. 

By then, money supply had increased from Z$45b to about Z$900 quadrillion.

Since his plan was to rejuvenate agriculture, he then injected money in agriculture purchasing machinery, seed, fertilizer and even giving out money.

He also turned on the banks that were operating like cartels where he pushed out unscrupulous operators and speculators and created the ZABG.

In the process, Gono became culprit number one for causing cash shortages; causing the highest inflation in the world and collapsing social services namely health and education. Price hikes were also blamed on Gono.

What Gono’s critics fail to understand is that had we utilised his ideas, we would have been somewhere. All that money put into agriculture could have changed our fortunes.

If I can revert to the USA again where the Emergency Economic Stabilisation Act was enacted on 3 October 2008 to purchase distressed assets and inject capital into banks.
The Bill, signed by President George W. Bush before leaving office, made available US$700billion under the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) that would prevent an economic depression and restore confidence in the USA credit markets.

Today, the USA economy has not been back to what it used to be before the 2008 economic problems but at least there is some sense of pride and development.

This, maybe, is where the difference is; support and national pride. In our case we did not take any pride in Gono’s efforts. For most of us, it was a Zanu-PF thing. 

Indeed, Zanu-PF made it their thing. 

That’s why most if not all those who benefited from the RBZ were non-productive farmers who sold the fuel, seed and fertilizer they got; who used the tractors as kombis or luxury ‘cars’ for driving to the bar; who still today use the land as a place for a homestead while the fields run empty throughout the year.

And nobody had the guts to stop them because they played the party card. I know a top figure who got a combine harvester which was never used. The last time I saw the machine, it was parked at Concession.

There are also some who just went to take things just for the sake of taking when they could not utilise them. Today, equipment is lying unused on barren farms.

We missed this other side of Gono’s sunrise.

Zimbabwean forth estate in distaste




Journalism, the so-called Fourth Estate, has been and still is an extension of Zimbabwe’s problems either by misinforming the people or misleading the government.

It’s a fact that even today media in Zimbabwe is polarised. One can safely say there are four distinct media groupings in the country today.

The first group is made up of state media journalists; that is the Zimpapers stable while the second group consists of the so-called independent media with the third group being those who use the new media – internet journalists. The fourth group is the journalist-cum-civic worker.

The situations the three groups of journalists create reminds me of the Biblical books Mathew, John, Luke and Mark who all wrote about Jesus Christ’s life as eye witnesses but give varying versions of what happened or did not happen.

But before delving deeper into what and how each of these groups have done to our country, I will dissect them.

The state media journalist has been the laughing stock. 

They are viewed by the other groups as unable, suckers and inept. This, to some extent, is true. 

There is some deadwood  atZimpapers. There are ‘senior journalists’ who have been with the Zimpapers stable for more than 10 years now. Most can’t write a feature or think about any topic except when it comes to reporting events. 

These are the ‘The President said . . .’ type or the ‘The Minister said in a statement . . . ‘

In actual fact, such ‘senior journalists’ haven’t matured professionally but have remained reporters. 

It’s understandable because in their minds they think they have no mandate to think beyond what they are fed.

It is for this reason that the state media journalist is laughed at. I remember when I was at The Herald asking a close journalist friend after MDC-T’s parliamentary majority win why he can’t for once advise Zanu-PF constructively, properly?

He did, for once, write such an article pointing out where and why Zanu-PF had lost and would continue to lose.  

But for the majority, everyday is just another day and years have piled up. Being a journalist has become just a routine. 

There is no creativity and no personal development. What matters to most of them is the pay packet. That’s why at Zimpapers you find journalists who have been there for 20 years or more yet they can’t show why they have been there. These are the nameless and faceless By Herald Reporter type. 

For those who have the chance to accompany the President, staying at Zimpapers has been good for them. Life goes on and they die professionally like babies sleeping during feeding time. 

The second group is the so-called independent media journalist. Most of them walk with confidence and view themselves as masters of the pen. They dominate any discussions and act as if they have sources in high places.

 They boast about their stories and believe that everything the government does is wrong and should be criticised except, of course, Reserve Bank Governor Gideon Gono.
The most distressing fact is that even where these journalists should be independent to criticise, evaluate, assess and dissect issues, all they do at best is inflate issues by giving unbalanced reports. 

It’s a fact that during the rise of the MDC, these journalists never looked at the other side of the coin and write about the intra-party violence that later led to the party’s first split. It’s not true that they did not know about it but they covered up all this.

They also ignored or did not take former Highfield MDC MP, Munyaradzi Gwisai’s worries when he quit the party citing loss of direction and a deviation from the founding goals and aspirations.

Maybe, the only fair comment one read was Joram Nyathi’s column where he dealt with issues in a mature manner but that made him very unpopular and some quarters called for his head. It was delivered just like King Herod delivered John the Baptist’s head on a platter.

Even here, one finds nothing much except criticism, mostly unfair, unbalanced and unresearched. Even here one would read between the lines what information has been taken out.

The cyber journalist has been and is the most viral type because they operate like flies – nameless, faceless and devoid of any ethics. This type has the entire wide world to lie, scorn, deride and rebuke sometimes innocent people.
Indeed, they get away with it. 

For them anything is news. Get a fake comment here and throw a name there, hey presto the story is ready to go. These have cost the country enormously. Even legislation has not been able to reach and sniff them out. Maybe, such a situation was created by the closure of media houses in Zimbabwe. But it appears this group, with the establishment of newspapers in the country, is facing extinction like the Zim dollar. 

The fourth group is made of those who used the profession as a spring board to achieve their political aspirations. Some are now within party structures where they hold high positions while others have made money as civic leaders or activists.

It is within this group where democracy is a buzz word such that life is nothing but about democracy. For and to them, life starts and ends with democracy. But once some of them get the positions they want, they then turn against democracy.

The fifth groups consists of those who openly declare their allegiance to political parties and vow to write in defence of whatever such parties say regardless of whether it helps the majority or destroys them. These are only found within the Zimpapers stable but across the spectrum.

We have exacerbated the Zimbabwean problem by being dishonesty to the profession. We lie and panel beat issues to suit our needs. In the process, we have become activists. Our duty to inform fairly, to act as the people’s watchdogs has been discarded either for money or self-glory.

While we use the word democracy, our actions do not show any democratic thinking. Yes, the Zimbabwean fourth estate is in distaste.








IMF, World Bank: Forced economic medicine kills Africa



The IMF and the World Bank have increasingly come under fire for the way it forces European governments to take up austerity measures. Greeks, the Irish, the Portuguese as well as the Spanish took to the streets demanding that the IMF should go home. But this has not been the same in Africa where the docile masses were fed poisonous austerity doses which impoverished the continent



The Zambian director of the anti-poverty group, Women for Change Emily Sikazwe, frustrated by the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank’s policies in her country asked:

“What would they [the World Bank and the IMF] say if we took them to the World Court in The Hague and accused them of genocide?”

Sikazwe asked the question in 2007 years before the financial crises hit Greece, Portugal, Ireland and Spain. It was the time when most African countries under the IMF’s Structural Adjustment Programs (SAPs) were reeling from shortages.

Her concerns came after several analysts have, over the years, voiced their concerns with the way the IMF and the World Bank adopted destructive policies which left the continent in a far worse situation.

While the affected in Europe have voiced their concern, the majority in Africa have been fed the IMF and World Bank’s starvation diet silently.

Maybe the international writer on politics specialising in US policy towards the Third World, Asad Ismi, aptly summed up what the IMF and the World Bank do to Africa in his report titled Impoverishing a Continent: The World bank and IMF in Africa.

Robert Naiman and Neil Watkins of Centre for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR) in their 1999 paper, A Survey of IMF Structural Adjustment in Africa: Growth, Social Spending and Debt Relief say for about 20 years, the World Bank and the IMF have forced developing countries to create conditions that benefit Western corporations and governments. 

“These conditions are known as Structural Adjustment Programs (SAPs). SAPs require governments to cut public spending,(including eliminating subsidies for food, medical care and education); raise interest rates, thus reducing access to credit; privatise state enterprises; increase exports; and reduce barriers to trade and foreign investment such as tariffs and import duties. 

“These measures are supposed to generate export-led growth that will attract foreign direct investment and can be used to reduce debt and poverty.”

Dr Gloria Emeagwali, a professor of History and African Studies at Central Connecticut State University, New Britain, United States concurs with Naiman and Watkins in her study Market Reform and Corporate Globalisation.

But Naiman and Watkins, Emeagwali adds that IMF policies cause forced currency devaluation which leads to a free fall in the value of domestic currencies and ultimately lower purchasing power and living standards.
 
In addition, IMF policies cause massive unemployment through retrenchment of workers and bring about high prices which trigger food riots and social unrest.

The effects of privatisation are, among others, the de-industrialisation of economies and   reduce local ownership of companies because they can’t afford buying into companies. 

The removal of health subsidies has led to widespread increased mortality rate while that on education is responsible for massive school drop-outs and child labour. Most often, subsidies on education affects girl children because parents will opt to send boys to school. The long term effect is an uneven and the feminisation of poverty, she writes.

When the economy declines because of IMF policies, Emeagwali further notes, democratic governance is prejudiced and it gives rise to ethnic politics as well as possible military dictatorships.

Ironically, the IMF measures have led to increased debt for nations which saw a transfer of as much as 40% of domestic budget to debt repayment to creditors or bankers of Euro-America. Once that percentage of a budget is reserved for debt repayment, a nation losses its sovereignty.

A three-year multi-country study released in April 2002 that included Zimbabwe, Ghana and Cote d’Ivoire done by the Structural Adjustment Participatory Review International Network (SAPRIN) in conjunction with World Bank, national governments and civil society says SAPs have been “expanding poverty, inequality and insecurity around the world”.


SAPRIN further says IMF reforms impoverish and increase economic inequality, “First, trade and financial sector reforms have destroyed domestic manufacturing leading to massive unemployment of workers and small producers. Second, agricultural, trade and mining reforms have reduced the incomes of small farms and poor rural communities as well as their food security. Thirdly, labour market flexibilisation measures and privatisations have caused mass lay-offs of workers and resulted in lower wages, less secure employment, fewer benefits and an erosion of workers’ rights and bargaining power.”

Privatisation, the report also notes, of major national assets and essential services has also allowed multinational corporations to remove resources and profits from countries as well as increase rates for water and electricity which has hit the poor the hardest. 

In addition, the cutting of health and education spending under SAPs and the introduction of user fees for these services, when combined with higher utility rates, has resulted in a severe increase in the number of poor as well as a deepening of poverty.

In the process, the report says, “Third World countries are forced to open their economies to Western penetration and increase exports of primary goods to wealthy nations. These steps amongst others have multiplied profits for Western multinational corporations while subjecting Third World countries to horrendous levels of poverty, unemployment, malnutrition, illiteracy and economic decline. The region worst affected has been Africa.”

This, according to the report, should not come as a surprise because the US and IMF has become synonymous, “Washington's predominance ensured that whatever their theoretical mandates might be, the World Bank and the IMF would become instruments of U.S. foreign policy. The role of both has been to fully integrate the Third World into the U.S.-dominated global capitalist system in the subordinate position of raw material supplier and open market.

“As such, these institutions complement the US' use of the Pentagon and the CIA to crush Third World governments aspiring to independent development.” 

The report gives the example Chile’s Salvador Allende in 1972 when President Richard Nixon and Henry Kissinger who was his National Security advisor then used Fund to destabilise the South American country.

This action led to the bloody 1973 coup which murdered Allende and ushered in the military dictatorship of General Augusto Pinochet whose regime received $350.5million, almost 13 times the $27.7 million the former received in three years.

The height of US influence was during the tenure of Robert McNamara at the financial institution from 1968 till 1981 when President Johnson worked to speed up integration of Third World countries into the expanding US markets.

But by the 80s, most of the countries could to afford to pay back thereby giving Washington to use the Fund and the World Bank to subject Third World countries to SAPs.

Apart from forcing currency devaluations and other measures, the US also got involved in labour laws, health care, environmental regulations, civil service requirements, energy policies and procurement.

The debt crisis gave the Fund room to be involved with governments and as writer and political commentator for the Toronto Star Richard Gwyn notes in his article IMF Now Defacto Government for Millions, oversaw the lives of more than 1.4billion people in 75 developing countries.

This involvement has, in some cases, become destabilisation when the austerity measures force poor nations to reduce current accounts deficits by contracting money supply; demand strict anti-inflationary policy; privatise public enterprises; liberalise trade and dismantle foreign exchange controls and reduce the size of the public sector.

A the height of SAPs between 1980 and 93, the Fund subjected 70 developing countries to 566 stabilisation SAPs without any positive results and between 1984 and 1990, Third World countries doddering under SAPs paid more than US$178billion to western commercial banks.

This, the report says, left poor countries reeling in poverty and destroyed health and educational infrastructure.

Two prominent figures raised their voices against the Fund in the late 80s and early 90s. These were former World Bank director, Morris Miller and former UN Secretary General, Javier Perez de Cuellar in 1991.

Miller was quoted by Walden Bello is a Filipino author and political analyst, Shea Cunningham author of Dark Victory and consultant Bill Rau in their report  IMF/World Bank: Devastation by Design," Covert Action said, “Not since the conquistadors plundered Latin America has the world experienced such a flow in the direction we see today.”

Quoted by journalist John Raymond in IMF Medicine is Killing Those it Aims to Save, The Globe and Mail in 1991, De Cuellar said, “The various plans of structural adjustment which undermine the middle classes; impoverish wage earners; close doors that had begun to open to the basic rights of education, food, housing, medical care; and also disastrously affect employment-often plunge societies, especially young people, into despair.”

Ismi in Plunder with a Human Face: The World Bank that ran in the Z Magazine in 1998 claims that one of the most affected South American countries was Peru where about four million people were left in poverty when their wages were cut.

“Consequently, there was a forced migration of impoverished peasants and urban unemployed into coca growing (for drug traffickers) as an alternative to starvation. 

“In 1991, in exchange for US$100 million from the United States, Peru put in place the IMF structural adjustment clause opening its markets to U S corn. As a result, by 1995, corn cultivation had fallen tenfold and coca production had grown by 50 percent. Under these conditions, corruption flourished; indeed almost an entire economy was criminalized. Increased coca production meant more cocaine trafficking which led to deepening official corruption in Peru as the amount of money in the hands of drug lords increased,” Ismi noted.

Raymond added on the Peru experience, "From one day to the next, fuel prices increased 31 times-by 2,968%. The price of bread increased 12 times-by 1,150%. The prices of most basic food staples increased by six or seven times - 446% in a single month - yet wages had already been compressed by 80% in the period prior to the adoption of these measures in August 1990."

Former South America Newsweek bureau chief and a California-based journalist David Schrieberg in Dateline Latin America: The Growing Fury, Foreign Policy (1997) describes Latin America as experiencing “its worst period of social and economic deprivation in half a century". 

“By 1997, nearly half of the region's 460 million people had become poor - an increase of 60 million in 10 years. 

Populations, overall, were worse off than they were in 1980.” 

Even the United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) stated in 1996 that "the levels of [poverty] are still considerably higher than those observed in 1980 while income distribution seems to have worsened in virtually all cases". 

As part of its new mandate, the Fund also had a low-intensity conflict (ILC) policy in 80s pushed by the US targeting Grenada, Panama, Nicaragua, Angola, Panama, El Salvador and Guatemala as well as Philippines.

The LIC involved financing conflicts as a way of controlling the Third World. This was also meant to break and whip it into line a Third World that was demanding a new international economic order.

George Bush also pursued this policy with the help of the Fund and the World Bank such that by 1993 Latin American government considered to be radical and revolutionary had been deposed.

Nicaragua fell victim to this during Ronald Reagan’s tenure when the Contras attacked the Sandinista government while the World Bank, under Thomas Clausen, a Reagan appointee pulled the plug on funding.

Sub Saharan Africa too was caught up in the scheme of things and as of 1980 36 out of 47 countries were under SAPs.

In Africa IMF and World Bank policies slowed down growth; increased poverty levels; lowered income; caused low human development; increased debt burden; decreased health care and caused an increase in diseases; and affected education.

American economist, columnist and co-director of the Centre for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR) in Washington Mark Weisbrot, Naiman, and Joyce Kim in their paper The Emperor Has No Growth: Declining Economic Growth Rates in the Era of Globalization, CEPR, November 27, 2000 say during 1960-1980, Sub Saharan Africa's GDP per capita grew by 36% but fell by 15% in the 1980-2000 period.

 “These are enormous differences by any standard of comparison and represent the loss to an entire generation - of hundreds of millions of people - of any chance of improving its living standards,” they say.

The World Bank notes that in 1994 about 200 million people lived below the poverty line of US$ per day but by 2003, the figure had increased by 75% to 350million.

The bank further notes that per capita incomes for most Sub Saharan countries fell by 25% during the 1980s and for 18 countries these incomes were lower in 1999 than in 1975. 

United Nations, Development Programme (UNDP), Human Development Report, 2001; UN, Economic Report on Africa 1999 says 80% of low human development countries - those with low income, low literacy, low life expectancy and high population growth rates - are in Africa.

“Average life expectancy for Sub Saharan Africa is only 47 years (the lowest in the world), a drop of 15 years since 1980. Forty per cent of the population suffers from malnutrition that causes low birth weight among infants and stunts growth in children. In 2000, 30% of children under five were underweight in Sub-Saharan Africa; thirty-seven percent of such children were under height,” the reports states.

Assistant director for policy analysis and communications at Africa Action, Ann-Louise Colgan in her position paper Africa's Debt - Africa Action July 2001 argues that under SAPs, Africa's external debt has increased by more than 500% since 1980 to $333 billion today. 

“SAPs have transferred $229 billion in debt payments from Sub-Saharan Africa to the West since 1980. This is four times the region's 1980 debt. In the past decade alone, African countries have paid their debt three times over yet they are three times as indebted as ten years ago. 

“Of Sub-Saharan Africa's 44 countries, 33 are designated heavily indebted poor countries by the World Bank. Africa, the world's poorest region, pays the richest countries $15 billion every year in debt servicing. This is more than the continent gets in aid, new loans or investment,” she says.
According to the UNDP, if such payments were not made African would have ‘saved 21 million people and given 90 million girls and women access to basic education by the year 2000’. 

The All-African Conference of Churches, a fellowship of churches and religious institutions described Africa’s debt as ‘a new form of slavery, as vicious as the slave trade’ while Africa Action, a Washington DC-based advocacy group says the US and rich countries are using Africa’s debt as ‘leverage to manipulate the continent’s economic fate to serve their interest’.

“The US appears unwilling to support debt cancellation for Africa because the US actually gains a great deal from Africa's economic enslavement,” the organisation says.

Colgan in another paper Hazardous to Health and BBC's News Online environment correspondent Alex Kirby in Water key to ending Africa's poverty 2002 say Africa spends four times more on debt interest payments than on health care.
“This combined with cutbacks in social expenditure caused health care spending in the 42 poorest African countries to fall by 50% during the 1980s. As a result, health care systems have collapsed across the continent creating near catastrophic conditions. 

“More than 200 million Africans have no access to health services as hundreds of clinics, hospitals and medical facilities have been closed; those remaining open were generally left understaffed and without essential medical supplies.

“This has left diseases to rage unchecked, leading most alarmingly to an AIDS pandemic. With about 12% of the world's population, Africa accounts for 80% of the world's deaths due to AIDS and almost 90% of the world's deaths due to malaria. More than 17 million Africans have died of HIV/AIDS and an estimated 28 million of the 40 million people living with the disease worldwide are in Sub- Saharan Africa. 

“More than 12 million African orphans have lost their mothers or both parents to AIDS. Presently, Malaria is killing 900,000 people annually across the continent and according to the World Health Organization (WHO) 3.3 million Africans will have tuberculosis by 2005,” their two reports say.

Africa Action, Africa's Right to Health Campaign: Background Links on Africa's Health say, “More than half of Africa's population is without safe drinking water and two-thirds do not have access to adequate sanitation.”
Oxfam Briefing Paper no. 19 notes that because of SAPs, ‘10 African governments spent more on debt repayments than on primary education and health care combined in 2002’. 

This, the paper observes, leaves 40% of African children out of school, “Between 1986 and 1996, per capita education spending fell by 0.7% a year on average. The adult literacy rate in Sub-Saharan Africa is 60%, well below the developing country average of 73%. More than 140 million young Africans are illiterate.”

Emily Sikazwe, director of the Zambian anti-poverty group Women for Change tells New Internationalist Magazine journalist Mark Lynas that  SAPs cause poverty in 2007.

“And poverty has a woman's face,” she says.